Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 10, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Stadion Bâlgarska Armija
CSKA Sofia3 - 1Roma
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Sofia | Draw | Roma |
| 35.13% | 24.42% | 40.45% |
| Both teams to score 59.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.88% | 43.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.48% | 65.52% |
| CSKA Sofia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% | 24.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.57% | 58.42% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% | 21.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.62% | 54.37% |
| Score Analysis |
CSKA Sofia 35.13%
Roma 40.45%
Draw 24.41%
| CSKA Sofia | Draw | Roma |
| 2-1 @ 8.05% 1-0 @ 7.34% 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.13% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-1 @ 7.96% 0-2 @ 6.14% 1-3 @ 4.49% 2-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 3.16% 1-4 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.62% Total : 40.45% |
How you voted: CSKA Sofia vs Roma
CSKA Sofia
21.3%Draw
15.9%Roma
62.8%478


