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Basel
Europa League | Playoffs
Oct 1, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park

Basel
1 - 3
CSKA Sofia

Arthur (54' pen.)
Padula (49'), Alderete (87'), Comert (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodrigues (72', 88'), Ahmedov (90+7')
Geferson (45'), Galabov (58'), Mazikou (65'), Sankhare (75'), Youga (90+5'), Keita (90+7')
Coverage of the Europa League Playoffs clash between Basel and CSKA Sofia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
BaselDrawCSKA Sofia
39.85%25.73%34.41%
Both teams to score 54.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.77%49.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.71%71.28%
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63%24.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.22%58.77%
CSKA Sofia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.57%27.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.09%62.9%
Score Analysis
    Basel 39.85%
    CSKA Sofia 34.41%
    Draw 25.73%
BaselDrawCSKA Sofia
1-0 @ 9.44%
2-1 @ 8.62%
2-0 @ 6.66%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.11%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 39.85%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.68%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 8.65%
1-2 @ 7.9%
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 3.41%
0-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.41%

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