Europa League

Europa League | Second Qualifying Round

Sep 17, 2020 at 6pm UK

Stadion Bâlgarska Armija

CSKA Sofia
2 - 0
BATE

Sowe (44'), Carey (90+5')
Busatto (32')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Yablonski (46'), Filipovic (63'), Dubajic (90+4')

Coverage of the Europa League Second Qualifying Round clash between CSKA Sofia and BATE Borisov.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
CSKA Sofia	Draw	BATE Borisov
34.8%	26.31%	38.89%

Both teams to score 53.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.39%

51.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.6%

73.4%

CSKA Sofia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.66%

28.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.92%

64.08%

BATE Borisov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.03%

25.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.02%

60.97%

Score Analysis

CSKA Sofia 34.8%

BATE Borisov 38.89%

Draw 26.31%

CSKA Sofia	Draw	BATE Borisov
1-0 @ 9.28% 2-1 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.8%	1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 6.69% 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.37% Total : 38.89%