Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 25

Mar 3, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 1
Sampdoria

Zappacosta (52')
Badelj (34')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tonelli (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Sampdoria
33.31%	25.42%	41.26%

Both teams to score 55.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.92%

48.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.75%

70.24%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.45%

27.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.93%

63.06%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.86%

23.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.99%

57.01%

Score Analysis

Genoa 33.31%

Sampdoria 41.27%

Draw 25.41%

Genoa	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 8.22% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 5.3% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.31%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.38% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 9.33% 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-2 @ 6.83% 1-3 @ 4.29% 0-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.27%

How you voted: Genoa vs Sampdoria

Genoa

46.3%

Draw

29.3%

Sampdoria

24.4%