Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 22

Feb 14, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
2 - 1
Fiorentina

Balde (31'), Quagliarella (71')
Damsgaard (57')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Vlahovic (37')
Venuti (34'), Pulgar (61'), Bonaventura (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Fiorentina
38.55%	25.28%	36.17%

Both teams to score 56.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.01%

47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.76%

69.24%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.95%

24.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.68%

58.32%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66%

25.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.87%

60.13%

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 38.55%

Fiorentina 36.17%

Draw 25.28%

Sampdoria	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 8.69% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.05% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.55%	1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 8.37% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 0.92% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.74% Total : 36.17%

How you voted: Sampdoria vs Fiorentina

Sampdoria

63.8%

Draw

27.6%

Fiorentina

8.6%