Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Parma had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 33.42% | 26.05% | 40.52% |
| Both teams to score 53.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.23% | 50.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.34% | 72.66% |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.21% | 28.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.36% | 64.64% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% | 24.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.74% | 59.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 1-0 @ 8.86% 2-1 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.42% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 8.66% 0-2 @ 6.95% 1-3 @ 4.03% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.65% Total : 40.52% |