Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Jan 3, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 0
Sampdoria

Dzeko (72')
Smalling (8'), Peres (55'), Villar (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yoshida (37'), Augello (61'), Ekdal (66'), Tonelli (74'), Jankto (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 72.75%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 11.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 3-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Sampdoria
72.75%	15.62%	11.63%

Both teams to score 57.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70%

30%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.8%

51.2%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.85%

7.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.98%

26.02%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.39%

37.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.61%

74.39%

Score Analysis

Roma 72.75%

Sampdoria 11.63%

Draw 15.62%

Roma	Draw	Sampdoria
2-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 9.15% 3-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 8.05% 1-0 @ 7.1% 4-0 @ 5.43% 4-1 @ 5.31% 3-2 @ 3.94% 5-0 @ 2.87% 5-1 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 2.6% 5-2 @ 1.37% 6-0 @ 1.26% 6-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 4.06% Total : 72.75%	1-1 @ 6.94% 2-2 @ 4.48% 0-0 @ 2.69% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.23% Total : 15.62%	1-2 @ 3.39% 0-1 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-2 @ 1.29% 1-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.76% Total : 11.63%

How you voted: Roma vs Sampdoria

Roma

81.3%

Draw

11.0%

Sampdoria

7.7%