Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Crotone win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Crotone |
39.06% | 25.29% | 35.65% |
Both teams to score 56.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.91% | 47.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.67% | 69.33% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.18% | 23.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42% | 58% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.32% | 25.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.41% | 60.59% |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Crotone |
1-0 @ 8.78% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 6.29% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2% Total : 39.06% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.45% Total : 35.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |