Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.