Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.04%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Torino win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Crotone |
| 35.15% | 23.56% | 41.29% |
| Both teams to score 62.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.01% | 38.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.69% | 61.31% |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.79% | 22.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.38% | 55.62% |
| Crotone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.75% | 19.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.03% | 50.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Torino | Draw | Crotone |
| 2-1 @ 7.98% 1-0 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 4% 3-2 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.52% Total : 35.15% | 1-1 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 6.57% 0-0 @ 4.28% 3-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-1 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 5.8% 1-3 @ 4.8% 2-3 @ 3.61% 0-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 1.98% 2-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.35% Total : 41.29% |