Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 3

Oct 3, 2020 at 2pm UK

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo
4 - 1
Crotone

Berardi (19'), Caputo (58' pen., 85'), Locatelli (90+3')
Chiriches (24'), Kiriakopoulos (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Simy (49' pen.)
Magallan (64'), Cigarini (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Crotone, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 37.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.96%) and 2-0 (5.09%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Crotone
39.83%	22.8%	37.37%

Both teams to score 66.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.16%

34.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.19%

56.81%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.87%

18.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.9%

49.1%

Crotone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.76%

19.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.06%

50.95%

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 39.83%

Crotone 37.37%

Draw 22.8%

Sassuolo	Draw	Crotone
2-1 @ 8.38% 1-0 @ 5.96% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 4.77% 3-2 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-2 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.95% Total : 39.83%	1-1 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 6.91% 0-0 @ 3.49% 3-3 @ 2.16% Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.8%	1-2 @ 8.09% 0-1 @ 5.75% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 4.45% 2-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.47% Total : 37.37%