Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Jan 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
2 - 1
Sampdoria

Terzi (20'), N'Zola (60' pen.)
Farias (37'), Gyasi (90+2'), Marchizza (90+4'), Agudelo (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Candreva (24')
Yoshida (34'), Bereszynski (56'), Jankto (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Sampdoria
42.51%	25.03%	32.46%

Both teams to score 56.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.4%

46.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.13%

68.87%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.1%

21.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.84%

55.16%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.64%

27.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.18%

62.82%

Score Analysis

Spezia 42.51%

Sampdoria 32.46%

Draw 25.02%

Spezia	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.51%	1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 5.99% 2-2 @ 5.8% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 7.77% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.46%