/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fspecallog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fsamlog.png)
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Claudio Terzi
20'
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Diego Farias
37'
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Mbala N'Zola
60'
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Emmanuel Gyasi
90'+2'
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Riccardo Marchizza
90'+4'
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Kevin Agudelo
90'+5'
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Antonio Candreva
24'
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Maya Yoshida
34'
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Bartosz Bereszynski
56'
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Jakub Jankto
71'
Spezia vs Sampdoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.
Result
Spezia
42.51%
Draw
25.03%
Sampdoria
32.46%
Both Teams to Score:
56.73%
Goals
Over 2.5
53.4%
Under 2.5
46.6%
Over 3.5
31.13%
Under 3.5
68.87%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5
78.1%
Under 0.5
21.9%
Over 1.5
44.84%
Under 1.5
55.16%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5
72.64%
Under 0.5
27.36%
Over 1.5
37.18%
Under 1.5
62.82%
Score analysis
Spezia
42.51%
Draw
25.02%
Sampdoria
32.46%
Spezia
1-0
@
9.1%
2-1 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 4.53%
3-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 42.51%
2-1 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 4.53%
3-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 42.51%
Draw
1-1
@
11.79%
0-0 @ 5.99%
2-2 @ 5.8%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.02%
0-0 @ 5.99%
2-2 @ 5.8%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.02%
Sampdoria
0-1
@
7.77%
1-2 @ 7.64%
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 2.17%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.46%
1-2 @ 7.64%
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 2.17%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.46%