Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 38.87% | 26.34% | 34.79% |
| Both teams to score 52.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.26% | 51.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.49% | 73.51% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.96% | 26.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.93% | 61.07% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% | 28.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.84% | 64.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% 2-1 @ 8.43% 2-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.87% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.4% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.31% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 3.31% 0-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.72% Total : 34.79% |