/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fspecallog_1.png)
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Andrea Petagna
58'
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Giovanni Di Lorenzo
87'
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Kostas Manolas
90'+3'
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Ardian Ismajli
61'
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Tommaso Pobega
65'
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Mbala N'Zola
68'
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Giulio Maggiore
72'
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Ardian Ismajli
77'
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Tommaso Pobega
82'
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Claudio Terzi
88'
Napoli vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 69.92%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 12.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result
Napoli
69.92%
Draw
17.26%
Spezia
12.82%
Both Teams to Score:
55.23%
Goals
Over 2.5
64.87%
Under 2.5
35.13%
Over 3.5
42.86%
Under 3.5
57.14%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
90.99%
Under 0.5
9.01%
Over 1.5
69.31%
Under 1.5
30.69%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5
60.7%
Under 0.5
39.3%
Over 1.5
24%
Under 1.5
76%
Score analysis
Napoli
69.91%
Draw
17.26%
Spezia
12.82%
Napoli
2-0
@
10.25%
2-1 @ 9.58%
1-0 @ 8.52%
3-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 7.69%
4-0 @ 4.95%
4-1 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 3.59%
5-0 @ 2.39%
5-1 @ 2.23%
4-2 @ 2.16%
5-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 4.66%
Total : 69.91%
2-1 @ 9.58%
1-0 @ 8.52%
3-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 7.69%
4-0 @ 4.95%
4-1 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 3.59%
5-0 @ 2.39%
5-1 @ 2.23%
4-2 @ 2.16%
5-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 4.66%
Total : 69.91%
Draw
1-1
@
7.96%
2-2 @ 4.47%
0-0 @ 3.54%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.26%
2-2 @ 4.47%
0-0 @ 3.54%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.26%
Spezia
1-2
@
3.72%
0-1 @ 3.31%
0-2 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.39%
1-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 12.82%
0-1 @ 3.31%
0-2 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.39%
1-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 12.82%