Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Jan 6, 2021 at 5pm UK

Stadio San Paolo

Napoli
1 - 2
Spezia

Petagna (58')
Di Lorenzo (87'), Manolas (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

N'Zola (68' pen.), Pobega (82')
Ismajli (61'), Pobega (65'), Maggiore (72'), Terzi (88')
Ismajli (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 69.92%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 12.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Spezia
69.92%	17.26%	12.82%

Both teams to score 55.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.87%

35.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.86%

57.14%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.99%

9.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.31%

30.69%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.7%

39.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24%

76%

Score Analysis

Napoli 69.91%

Spezia 12.82%

Draw 17.26%

Napoli	Draw	Spezia
2-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 8.52% 3-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 7.69% 4-0 @ 4.95% 4-1 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 3.59% 5-0 @ 2.39% 5-1 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 2.16% 5-2 @ 1.04% 6-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.71% Total : 69.91%	1-1 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.47% 0-0 @ 3.54% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.26%	1-2 @ 3.72% 0-1 @ 3.31% 0-2 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.39% 1-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.7% Total : 12.82%

How you voted: Napoli vs Spezia

Napoli

94.4%

Draw

2.4%

Spezia

3.2%