Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 69.92%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 12.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Spezia |
69.92% | 17.26% | 12.82% |
Both teams to score 55.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.87% | 35.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.86% | 57.14% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.99% | 9.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.31% | 30.69% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.7% | 39.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24% | 76% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 8.52% 3-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 7.69% 4-0 @ 4.95% 4-1 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 3.59% 5-0 @ 2.39% 5-1 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 2.16% 5-2 @ 1.04% 6-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.71% Total : 69.91% | 1-1 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.47% 0-0 @ 3.54% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.26% | 1-2 @ 3.72% 0-1 @ 3.31% 0-2 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.39% 1-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.7% Total : 12.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
12 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
> Serie A Full Table |