Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Dec 10, 2020 at 5.55pm UK

Stadio San Paolo

Napoli
1 - 1
Real Sociedad

Zielinski (35')
Mertens (25'), Lozano (41'), Fabian (59')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jose (90+2')
Zubimendi (39'), Le Normand (68'), Zubeldia (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Napoli and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 38.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.02%) and 3-2 (4.78%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Real Sociedad
40.6%	21.07%	38.33%

Both teams to score 73.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.21%

25.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.06%

45.94%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.97%

14.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.41%

41.59%

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.13%

14.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.79%

43.21%

Score Analysis

Napoli 40.6%

Real Sociedad 38.33%

Draw 21.07%

Napoli	Draw	Real Sociedad
2-1 @ 7.67% 3-1 @ 5.02% 3-2 @ 4.78% 1-0 @ 4.1% 2-0 @ 4.02% 3-0 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 2.35% 4-3 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.29% 5-1 @ 0.97% 5-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.89% Total : 40.6%	1-1 @ 7.81% 2-2 @ 7.31% 3-3 @ 3.04% 0-0 @ 2.09% Other @ 0.83% Total : 21.07%	1-2 @ 7.44% 1-3 @ 4.73% 2-3 @ 4.64% 0-1 @ 3.98% 0-2 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 2.25% 2-4 @ 2.21% 3-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 4.28% Total : 38.33%

How you voted: Napoli vs Real Sociedad

Napoli

57.3%

Draw

27.0%

Real Sociedad

15.7%