Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 13.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.78%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 13.38% | 22.49% | 64.13% |
| Both teams to score 40.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.88% | 56.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.81% | 77.19% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.36% | 51.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.23% | 85.77% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83% | 17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.87% | 47.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 5.8% 2-1 @ 3.4% 2-0 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.26% Total : 13.38% | 1-1 @ 10.28% 0-0 @ 8.78% 2-2 @ 3.01% Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.49% | 0-1 @ 15.55% 0-2 @ 13.78% 1-2 @ 9.11% 0-3 @ 8.14% 1-3 @ 5.38% 0-4 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-5 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.12% Total : 64.12% |