Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 9.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.33%) and 0-3 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Barcelona |
| 9.88% | 18.21% | 71.91% |
| Both teams to score 41.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.35% | 47.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.15% | 69.86% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.32% | 52.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.56% | 86.44% |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.11% | 11.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.79% | 37.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 4.01% 2-1 @ 2.74% 2-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.84% Total : 9.88% | 1-1 @ 8.55% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 2.92% Other @ 0.48% Total : 18.21% | 0-2 @ 14.2% 0-1 @ 13.33% 0-3 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 9.1% 1-3 @ 6.46% 0-4 @ 5.37% 1-4 @ 3.44% 0-5 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-5 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.99% Total : 71.89% |