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La Liga | Gameweek 6
Oct 18, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Elche

Alaves
0 - 2
Elche


Lejeune (30'), Ely (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Milla (39'), Morente (86')
Marcone (26'), Calvo (33'), Morente (47'), Josan (61'), Rigoni (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga fixture between Alaves and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 1-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (12.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawElche
30.77%30.63%38.6%
Both teams to score 39.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.62%67.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.48%85.52%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.55%39.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.86%76.14%
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05%33.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.37%70.63%
Score Analysis
    Alaves 30.76%
    Elche 38.59%
    Draw 30.62%
AlavesDrawElche
1-0 @ 12.45%
2-1 @ 6.26%
2-0 @ 5.79%
3-1 @ 1.94%
3-0 @ 1.8%
3-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 30.76%
1-1 @ 13.45%
0-0 @ 13.39%
2-2 @ 3.38%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.62%
0-1 @ 14.46%
0-2 @ 7.81%
1-2 @ 7.27%
0-3 @ 2.81%
1-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 38.59%