Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 50.32%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 22.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Alaves |
| 50.32% | 26.99% | 22.69% |
| Both teams to score 43.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.13% | 59.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.86% | 80.14% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.03% | 23.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.79% | 58.21% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.76% | 42.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.36% | 78.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 14.46% 2-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 8.9% 3-0 @ 4.92% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.38% Total : 50.31% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 8.73% 1-2 @ 5.37% 0-2 @ 3.76% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.1% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.11% Total : 22.69% |