Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 23.61% | 28.11% | 48.28% |
| Both teams to score 42.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.23% | 62.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.7% | 82.3% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.98% | 43.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.7% | 79.3% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% | 26.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.65% | 61.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 5.37% 2-0 @ 4.02% 3-1 @ 1.51% 3-0 @ 1.13% 3-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.04% Total : 23.61% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 11.28% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.1% | 0-1 @ 15.1% 0-2 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.52% 0-3 @ 4.5% 1-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.51% 1-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.88% Total : 48.28% |