Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 71.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 9.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.78%) and 0-3 (10.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Barcelona |
| 9.61% | 18.93% | 71.45% |
| Both teams to score 38.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.69% | 51.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.86% | 73.14% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.45% | 55.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.79% | 88.21% |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.91% | 13.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.29% | 39.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 4.28% 2-1 @ 2.56% 2-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.53% Total : 9.61% | 1-1 @ 8.69% 0-0 @ 7.27% 2-2 @ 2.6% Other @ 0.37% Total : 18.93% | 0-2 @ 15.03% 0-1 @ 14.78% 0-3 @ 10.18% 1-2 @ 8.84% 1-3 @ 5.99% 0-4 @ 5.18% 1-4 @ 3.05% 0-5 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.76% 1-5 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.29% Total : 71.44% |