Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 45.32%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Alaves |
| 45.32% | 29.22% | 25.46% |
| Both teams to score 40.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.94% | 65.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.06% | 83.94% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% | 28.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.28% | 64.73% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.41% | 42.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.06% | 78.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 15.27% 2-0 @ 9.49% 2-1 @ 8.1% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.22% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.46% Total : 45.31% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 12.29% 2-2 @ 3.46% Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.21% | 0-1 @ 10.49% 1-2 @ 5.56% 0-2 @ 4.48% 1-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.27% 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.09% Total : 25.46% |