La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 30, 2020 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid
1 - 0
Real Valladolid

Junior (65')
Casemiro (78'), Marcelo (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bruno (71')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 74.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 8.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.3%) and 3-0 (11.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Real Valladolid
74.98%	16.77%	8.26%

Both teams to score 39.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.53%

46.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.25%

68.76%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.26%

10.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.31%

34.7%

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.48%

55.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.81%

88.19%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 74.97%

Real Valladolid 8.26%

Draw 16.77%

Real Madrid	Draw	Real Valladolid
2-0 @ 14.84% 1-0 @ 13.3% 3-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 8.73% 3-1 @ 6.5% 4-0 @ 6.16% 4-1 @ 3.63% 5-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.07% 6-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.4% Total : 74.97%	1-1 @ 7.83% 0-0 @ 5.96% 2-2 @ 2.57% Other @ 0.41% Total : 16.77%	0-1 @ 3.51% 1-2 @ 2.3% 0-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.42% Total : 8.26%