La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 3

Sep 26, 2020 at 8pm UK

Estadio Benito Villamarín

Real Betis
2 - 3
Real Madrid

Mandi (35'), Carvalho (37')
Emerson (12'), Rodriguez (40'), Bartra (81'), Canales (84'), Mandi (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Valverde (14'), Emerson (48' og.), Ramos (82' pen.)
Carvajal (42'), Modric (53')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Betis	Draw	Real Madrid
26.51%	23.12%	50.38%

Both teams to score 59.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.73%

41.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.33%

63.67%

Real Betis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.27%

28.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.43%

64.57%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.47%

16.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.72%

46.28%

Score Analysis

Real Betis 26.51%

Real Madrid 50.38%

Draw 23.12%

Real Betis	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 6.65% 1-0 @ 5.92% 2-0 @ 3.69% 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.46% Total : 26.51%	1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.12%	1-2 @ 9.6% 0-1 @ 8.55% 0-2 @ 7.69% 1-3 @ 5.76% 0-3 @ 4.62% 2-3 @ 3.59% 1-4 @ 2.59% 0-4 @ 2.08% 2-4 @ 1.62% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.35% Total : 50.38%