La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

Jul 11, 2020 at 6.30pm UK

José Zorrilla

Real Valladolid
0 - 1
Barcelona

Alcaraz (45'), Perez (65')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vidal (15')
Lenglet (40'), Alba (78')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 71.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 10.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.37%) and 0-3 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Barcelona
10.1%	18.42%	71.48%

Both teams to score 41.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.09%

47.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.91%

70.09%

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.6%

52.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.74%

86.26%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.92%

12.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.39%

37.62%

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 10.1%

Barcelona 71.46%

Draw 18.42%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 4.09% 2-1 @ 2.8% 2-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.89% Total : 10.1%	1-1 @ 8.65% 0-0 @ 6.33% 2-2 @ 2.95% Other @ 0.49% Total : 18.42%	0-2 @ 14.13% 0-1 @ 13.37% 0-3 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 9.14% 1-3 @ 6.44% 0-4 @ 5.26% 1-4 @ 3.4% 0-5 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-5 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.91% Total : 71.46%