Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.84%) and 1-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Eibar |
| 31% | 29.38% | 39.62% |
| Both teams to score 43.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.42% | 63.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.12% | 82.88% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.87% | 37.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.08% | 73.91% |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% | 31.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.31% | 67.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.79% Total : 31% | 1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 11.63% 2-2 @ 3.85% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.37% | 0-1 @ 13.5% 0-2 @ 7.84% 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-3 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 3% Total : 39.62% |