Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Eibar |
| 45.68% | 24.97% | 29.34% |
| Both teams to score 55.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.31% | 47.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.11% | 69.89% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.08% | 20.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.35% | 53.65% |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.01% | 30% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.89% | 66.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.62% Total : 45.68% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.27% 2-2 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.56% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.34% |