Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 39.24% | 27.6% | 33.16% |
| Both teams to score 48.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.1% | 77.9% |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.69% | 28.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.97% | 64.03% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.91% | 32.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.44% | 68.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.23% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.08% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 10.32% 1-2 @ 7.41% 0-2 @ 5.87% 1-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.15% |