La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 11

Nov 28, 2020 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
1 - 2
Alaves

Casemiro (86')
Casemiro (18'), Kroos (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Perez (5' pen.), Joselu (49')
Rioja (67'), Duarte (76'), Mendez (88')

Reaction

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 74.63%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 8.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.72%) and 3-0 (10.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Alaves
74.63%	16.75%	8.63%

Both teams to score 41.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.83%

45.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.48%

67.52%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.52%

10.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.88%

34.12%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.19%

53.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.84%

87.16%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 74.61%

Alaves 8.63%

Draw 16.75%

Real Madrid	Draw	Alaves
2-0 @ 14.34% 1-0 @ 12.72% 3-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 8.89% 3-1 @ 6.69% 4-0 @ 6.08% 4-1 @ 3.77% 5-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.07% 5-1 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.17% 6-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.62% Total : 74.61%	1-1 @ 7.88% 0-0 @ 5.64% 2-2 @ 2.76% Other @ 0.47% Total : 16.75%	0-1 @ 3.5% 1-2 @ 2.44% 0-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.61% Total : 8.63%