La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 9

Nov 8, 2020 at 8pm UK

Mestalla

Valencia
4 - 1
Real Madrid

Soler (35' pen., 54' pen., 63' pen.), Varane (43' og.)
Racic (41'), Soler (41'), Guillamon (84'), Domenech (86')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Benzema (23')
Marcelo (52'), Ramos (62')

Reaction

Real Madrid manager Zinedine Zidane pictured on August 7, 2020

Zinedine Zidane: 'We fell apart against Valencia'

Ex-Watford boss Javi Gracia masterminded a famous 4-1 victory over Los Blancos.

Nov 9, 00:02

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 16.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.04%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Real Madrid
16.32%	21.06%	62.62%

Both teams to score 51.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.83%

45.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.48%

67.52%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.2%

40.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.63%

77.37%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.17%

13.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.82%

41.18%

Score Analysis

Valencia 16.32%

Real Madrid 62.62%

Draw 21.06%

Valencia	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 5.06% 2-1 @ 4.49% 2-0 @ 2.27% 3-1 @ 1.34% 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.32%	1-1 @ 10% 0-0 @ 5.64% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.06%	0-1 @ 11.16% 0-2 @ 11.04% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-3 @ 7.28% 1-3 @ 6.53% 0-4 @ 3.6% 1-4 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.93% 2-4 @ 1.45% 0-5 @ 1.43% 1-5 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.79% Total : 62.62%