Champions League
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Marco Asensio
34'
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Luka Modric
54'
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Vinicius Junior
59'
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Eder Militao
87'
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Viktor Korniienko
8'
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Tete
29'
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Raphael Varane
33'
(OG)
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Manor Solomon
42'
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Valerii Bondar
83'
Real Madrid vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
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The match
Result
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 13.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result
Real Madrid
65.67%
Draw
20.4%
Shakhtar Donetsk
13.93%
Both Teams to Score:
47.4%
Goals
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
30.75%
Under 3.5
69.25%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
86.52%
Under 0.5
13.48%
Over 1.5
59.5%
Under 1.5
40.5%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5
54.79%
Under 0.5
45.21%
Over 1.5
18.9%
Under 1.5
81.1%
Score analysis
Real Madrid
65.66%
Draw
20.4%
Shakhtar Donetsk
13.93%
Real Madrid
2-0
@
12.23%
1-0 @ 12.21%
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 8.17%
3-1 @ 6.49%
4-0 @ 4.09%
4-1 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.58%
5-0 @ 1.64%
5-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 65.66%
1-0 @ 12.21%
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 8.17%
3-1 @ 6.49%
4-0 @ 4.09%
4-1 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.58%
5-0 @ 1.64%
5-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 65.66%
Draw
1-1
@
9.7%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 20.4%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 20.4%
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1
@
4.84%
1-2 @ 3.85%
0-2 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.02%
1-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 13.93%
1-2 @ 3.85%
0-2 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.02%
1-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 13.93%
Head to Head
Champions League
-
Taras Stepanenko
35'
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Alex Teixeira
77'
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Dentinho
83'
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Alex Teixeira
88'
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Cristiano Ronaldo
18'
-
Daniel Carvajal
48'
-
Luka Modric
50'
-
Daniel Carvajal
52'
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
70'
-
Danilo
87'
Champions League
-
Karim Benzema
30'
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
55'
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
63'
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
81'
-
Taras Stepanenko
32'
-
Taras Stepanenko
50'
-
Darijo Srna
54'
-
Oleksandr Kucher
75'
-
Maksym Malyshev
80'