Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 21, 2020 at 5.55pm UK

Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano

Real Madrid
2 - 3
Shakhtar

Modric (54'), Junior (59')
Asensio (34'), Militao (87')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Tete (29'), Varane (33' og.), Solomon (42')
Korniienko (8'), Bondar (83')

Reaction

Luka Modric looks devastated after Jose Luis Morales scores for Levante on February 22, 2020

Luka Modric: 'Real Madrid performance not worthy of Champions League'

Luka Modric says that Real Madrid's performance against Shakhtar Donetsk on Wednesday evening was 'below Champions League standard'.

Oct 21, 22:42

Real Madrid manager Zinedine Zidane pictured on August 7, 2020

Zinedine Zidane admits Real Madrid "lacked confidence" against Shakhtar Donetsk

Zinedine Zidane claims that his Real Madrid side "lacked confidence" as they suffered a surprise defeat to Shakhtar Donetsk in the Champions League.

Oct 21, 22:17

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 13.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
65.67%	20.4%	13.93%

Both teams to score 47.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53%

47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.75%

69.25%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.52%

13.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.5%

40.5%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.79%

45.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.9%

81.1%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 65.66%

Shakhtar Donetsk 13.93%

Draw 20.4%

Real Madrid	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
2-0 @ 12.23% 1-0 @ 12.21% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 8.17% 3-1 @ 6.49% 4-0 @ 4.09% 4-1 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.58% 5-0 @ 1.64% 5-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.69% Total : 65.66%	1-1 @ 9.7% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.75% Total : 20.4%	0-1 @ 4.84% 1-2 @ 3.85% 0-2 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.02% 1-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.28% Total : 13.93%