Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.