Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 5
Oct 4, 2020 at 3pm UK
Stadion im. Yuriya Haharina
Shakhtar Donetsk

Desna
2 - 2
Shakhtar

Mostovyi (17'), Totovytsky (26')
Hutsuliak (83'), Lytovka (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kovalenko (4'), Dentinho (79')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Desna ChernihivDrawShakhtar Donetsk
31%25.32%43.69%
Both teams to score 55.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6%48.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.47%70.53%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79%29.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.85%65.15%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88%22.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51%55.49%
Score Analysis
    Desna Chernihiv 31%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 43.69%
    Draw 25.31%
Desna ChernihivDrawShakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 7.95%
2-1 @ 7.38%
2-0 @ 4.89%
3-1 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 2.29%
3-0 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 6.46%
2-2 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 9.75%
1-2 @ 9.05%
0-2 @ 7.35%
1-3 @ 4.55%
0-3 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 2.8%
1-4 @ 1.72%
0-4 @ 1.4%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 43.69%

rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!