Desna

3 - 1

Luhansk

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.