Wolfsburg

2 - 0

Desna

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.