Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Jul 16, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadion Yuro Gagarin
Desna1 - 3Oleksandriya
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and FC Oleksandriya.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Desna Chernihiv | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
| 48.15% | 24.46% | 27.39% |
| Both teams to score 55.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.34% | 46.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.07% | 68.93% |
| Desna Chernihiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.55% | 19.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.7% | 51.3% |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.11% | 30.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.82% | 67.18% |
| Score Analysis |
Desna Chernihiv 48.15%
FC Oleksandriya 27.39%
Draw 24.46%
| Desna Chernihiv | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 5.16% 3-0 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.05% Total : 48.15% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.01% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.06% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.39% |


