Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 21, 2020 at 5pm UK
Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
Shakhtar3 - 1Kovalivka
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Kolos Kovalivka.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 14.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 66.61% | 19.26% | 14.13% |
| Both teams to score 51.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.48% | 41.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.08% | 63.92% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.42% | 11.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.46% | 36.53% |
| Kolos Kovalivka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.51% | 41.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.01% | 77.99% |
| Score Analysis |
Shakhtar Donetsk 66.6%
Kolos Kovalivka 14.13%
Draw 19.26%
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 2-0 @ 11.16% 1-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 7.06% 4-0 @ 4.33% 4-1 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 3.11% 5-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.67% 5-1 @ 1.64% Other @ 3.75% Total : 66.6% | 1-1 @ 9.11% 0-0 @ 4.8% 2-2 @ 4.32% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.26% | 0-1 @ 4.23% 1-2 @ 4.01% 0-2 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.27% 1-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.6% Total : 14.13% |


