Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Valencia |
| 54.66% | 24.66% | 20.68% |
| Both teams to score 47.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.98% | 75.02% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.49% | 19.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.61% | 51.4% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.36% | 40.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.77% | 77.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 12.96% 2-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 5.19% 4-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.84% Total : 54.65% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 7.14% 1-2 @ 5.25% 0-2 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.29% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.25% Total : 20.69% |