Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Elche had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Valencia |
| 29.58% | 27.33% | 43.09% |
| Both teams to score 48.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.01% | 56.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.11% | 77.89% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.35% | 34.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.63% | 71.37% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% | 26.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.7% | 61.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 6.83% 2-0 @ 5.1% 3-1 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.2% Total : 29.58% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.08% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 12.15% 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 8.14% 1-3 @ 3.85% 0-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.12% Total : 43.08% |