Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 46.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Valencia |
| 24.84% | 28.19% | 46.97% |
| Both teams to score 42.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.72% | 62.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.06% | 81.94% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.44% | 41.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.95% | 78.05% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% | 26.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.09% | 61.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 5.65% 2-0 @ 4.27% 3-1 @ 1.65% 3-0 @ 1.25% 3-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.19% Total : 24.84% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 14.64% 0-2 @ 9.68% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-3 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-4 @ 1.41% 1-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.84% Total : 46.96% |