La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 10

Nov 21, 2020 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio El Madrigal

Villarreal
1 - 1
Real Madrid

Moreno (76' pen.)
Pino (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mariano (2')
Nacho (68'), Kroos (90+3')

Reaction

Real Madrid manager Zinedine Zidane pictured in November 2020

Real Madrid boss Zinedine Zidane: 'Villarreal draw is two points dropped'

Los Blancos, missing captain Sergio Ramos through injury, could not see out the closing stages.

Nov 21, 18:52

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Real Madrid
28.97%	24.82%	46.21%

Both teams to score 55.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.77%

47.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.54%

69.46%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.98%

30.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.86%

66.14%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.5%

20.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.01%

52.99%

Score Analysis

Villarreal 28.97%

Real Madrid 46.21%

Draw 24.82%

Villarreal	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 7.41% 2-1 @ 7.06% 2-0 @ 4.46% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 1.79% Other @ 3.19% Total : 28.97%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.82%	0-1 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 9.3% 0-2 @ 7.73% 1-3 @ 4.91% 0-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.62% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.21%