Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 25, 2020 at 8pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
0 - 2
Real Madrid

Gagliardini (19'), Vidal (33'), Sensi (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hazard (7' pen.), Hakimi (59' og.)

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Real Madrid
39.99%	24.44%	35.58%

Both teams to score 59.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.86%

43.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.46%

65.54%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.38%

21.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.27%

54.73%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.12%

23.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.92%

58.08%

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 39.99%

Real Madrid 35.58%

Draw 24.43%

Inter Milan	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 8.67% 1-0 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 6.06% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.57% Total : 39.99%	1-1 @ 11.32% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.43%	1-2 @ 8.11% 0-1 @ 7.39% 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.06% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.07% Total : 35.58%