Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 12

Dec 16, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

San Siro

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Napoli

Lukaku (73' pen.)
Brozovic (57'), Lukaku (80'), Skriniar (85'), D'Ambrosio (88'), Handanovic (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bakayoko (59'), Ospina (71'), Lozano (75')
Insigne (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Napoli
44.81%	24.75%	30.45%

Both teams to score 56.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.88%

46.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.58%

68.43%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.35%

20.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.77%

53.24%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.56%

28.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.8%

64.2%

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 44.81%

Napoli 30.45%

Draw 24.75%

Inter Milan	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 9.27% 2-1 @ 9.19% 2-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 4.83% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.73% Total : 44.81%	1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 5.88% 2-2 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.75%	0-1 @ 7.39% 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.45%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Napoli

Inter Milan

57.3%

Draw

20.7%

Napoli

22.0%