Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Dec 13, 2020 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Sant'Elia

Cagliari
1 - 3
Inter Milan

Sottil (42')
Farago (10'), Pavoletti (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Barella (77'), D'Ambrosio (84'), Lukaku (90+4')
Darmian (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 70.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 13.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-3 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a Cagliari win it was 2-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Inter Milan
13.05%	16.8%	70.14%

Both teams to score 57.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.82%

32.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.22%

53.77%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.04%

36.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.25%

73.75%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.79%

8.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.26%

28.73%

Score Analysis

Cagliari 13.05%

Inter Milan 70.14%

Draw 16.8%

Cagliari	Draw	Inter Milan
2-1 @ 3.76% 1-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 1.56% 2-0 @ 1.5% 3-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.97% Total : 13.05%	1-1 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 4.7% 0-0 @ 3.03% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.22% Total : 16.8%	0-2 @ 9.48% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-3 @ 7.9% 1-3 @ 7.87% 0-1 @ 7.59% 0-4 @ 4.94% 1-4 @ 4.92% 2-3 @ 3.92% 0-5 @ 2.47% 1-5 @ 2.46% 2-4 @ 2.45% 2-5 @ 1.22% 0-6 @ 1.03% 1-6 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.44% Total : 70.14%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Inter Milan

Cagliari

9.9%

Draw

15.4%

Inter Milan

74.7%