Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Feb 20, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
1 - 0
Sampdoria

Alberto (24')
Lulic (45'), Marusic (82'), Escalante (89'), Patric (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Silva (35'), Ekdal (60'), Colley (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Sampdoria
57.41%	21.78%	20.81%

Both teams to score 57.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.73%

41.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.33%

63.66%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.84%

14.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.16%

41.84%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.46%

33.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.82%

70.17%

Score Analysis

Lazio 57.41%

Sampdoria 20.81%

Draw 21.78%

Lazio	Draw	Sampdoria
2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 9.07% 3-1 @ 6.46% 3-0 @ 5.91% 3-2 @ 3.53% 4-1 @ 3.16% 4-0 @ 2.89% 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 1.23% 5-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.11% Total : 57.41%	1-1 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 5.42% 0-0 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.78%	1-2 @ 5.54% 0-1 @ 5.19% 0-2 @ 2.83% 1-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.23% Total : 20.81%