Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 28, 2021 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
0 - 2
Atalanta

Ekdal (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Malinovskyi (40'), Gosens (70')
Freuler (10'), Toloi (47'), de Roon (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.84%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 13.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 2-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Atalanta BC in this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Atalanta BC
13.85%	18.31%	67.84%

Both teams to score 54.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.33%

37.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.09%

59.91%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.55%

39.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.86%

76.14%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.82%

10.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.57%

33.42%

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 13.85%

Atalanta BC 67.84%

Draw 18.31%

Sampdoria	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 3.97% 1-0 @ 3.73% 2-0 @ 1.74% 3-2 @ 1.41% 3-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.77% Total : 13.85%	1-1 @ 8.53% 2-2 @ 4.54% 0-0 @ 4.01% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.31%	0-2 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 9.75% 0-1 @ 9.17% 0-3 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 7.43% 0-4 @ 4.56% 1-4 @ 4.24% 2-3 @ 3.46% 0-5 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.97% 1-5 @ 1.94% 2-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.86% Total : 67.84%