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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PEC Zwolle in this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 44.78% | 24.28% | 30.94% |
| Both teams to score 58.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.19% | 43.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.8% | 66.2% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.28% | 19.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.26% | 51.74% |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% | 26.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.7% | 62.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% 1-0 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 4.97% 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.05% Total : 44.78% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 2-2 @ 6.02% 0-0 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-1 @ 6.97% 0-2 @ 4.57% 1-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.06% Total : 30.94% |