Eredivisie | Gameweek 26

Mar 14, 2021 at 11.15am UK

De Koel

VVV-Venlo
1 - 3
Sittard

Giakoumakis (54')
Giakoumakis (46'), Post (78'), Arias (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Semedo (10'), Seuntjens (59'), Flemming (66')
Seuntjens (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between VVV-Venlo and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.

Result
VVV-Venlo	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
34.86%	24.89%	40.25%

Both teams to score 57.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.62%

45.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.29%

67.71%

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.67%

25.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.89%

60.11%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.54%

22.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.99%

56.01%

Score Analysis

VVV-Venlo 34.86%

Fortuna Sittard 40.25%

Draw 24.88%

VVV-Venlo	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 8.01% 1-0 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.86%	1-1 @ 11.66% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88%	1-2 @ 8.71% 0-1 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 4.34% 0-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.98% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.25%