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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 47.57% | 23.52% | 28.91% |
| Both teams to score 60.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.61% | 41.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.22% | 63.78% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.37% | 17.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.78% | 48.22% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% | 27.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.53% | 62.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% 1-0 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 5.44% 3-0 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 3.55% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.84% Total : 47.57% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-1 @ 6.24% 0-2 @ 4.07% 1-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 1.77% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.01% Total : 28.91% |