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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 29.35% | 25.96% | 44.7% |
| Both teams to score 52.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.2% | 51.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.44% | 73.56% |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.9% | 32.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.42% | 68.58% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% | 23.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.06% | 56.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 8.43% 2-1 @ 7.01% 2-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.35% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 10.86% 1-2 @ 9.05% 0-2 @ 7.96% 1-3 @ 4.42% 0-3 @ 3.89% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.69% |