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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Willem II |
| 29.05% | 25.05% | 45.9% |
| Both teams to score 54.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.84% | 48.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% | 70.32% |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.56% | 30.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.35% | 66.65% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.98% | 21.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.2% | 53.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Willem II |
| 1-0 @ 7.61% 2-1 @ 7.06% 2-0 @ 4.53% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.79% Other @ 3.08% Total : 29.05% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.4% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 9.98% 1-2 @ 9.26% 0-2 @ 7.78% 1-3 @ 4.81% 0-3 @ 4.05% 2-3 @ 2.86% 1-4 @ 1.88% 0-4 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.59% Total : 45.9% |